Elisity Blog

How to Protect Systems That Can’t Be Upgraded to Post-Quantum Cryptography

Quick answer. To protect systems that can’t be upgraded to post-quantum cryptography (PQC), give each a dated decision: replace it, tunnel its traffic through a PQC-capable gateway, segment it, minimize its data, or accept risk until a fixed date. Canada’s Cyber Centre says it “may be necessary to isolate such systems on the network or to tunnel traffic” (June 2025). Segmentation limits reachability. Only new firmware or hardware fixes the cryptography.

Overhead view of a manufacturing plant roof with rooftop units and skylights and a row of trailers at the docks, in a blue-teal grade
Plants, hospitals and building systems run equipment that will keep quantum-vulnerable cryptography for years. Contain it, date it, and plan its replacement.

Which systems can’t be upgraded to post-quantum cryptography?

The systems that can’t be upgraded to post-quantum cryptography have cryptography fixed in firmware or hardware, processors too limited for the new algorithms, a vendor that has ended support, or software that cannot change without revalidation. NIST describes the hardest case: in secure boot, “the public key and the program for verifying the signatures are included in the boot code and cannot be updated” (NIST CSWP 39-upd1, updated June 29, 2026).

  • Operational technology (OT) controllers and programmable logic controllers (PLCs): firmware changes need a vendor release, testing and a production window. CISA wrote in October 2024 that OT may be “some of the last remaining platforms to achieve post-quantum cryptographic standards.”
  • Medical devices on manufacturer validation cycles: the manufacturer controls the software and its validation and regulatory process.
  • Building systems: HVAC and access control controllers are vendor-managed and often stay in service far longer than IT equipment.
  • Embedded IoT: cameras, sensors and badge readers have small processors and often no update channel.
  • Legacy servers and applications with hardcoded cryptography: NIST notes such systems “often have cryptographic functions tightly embedded within their components.”
  • Hardware security modules (HSMs) without a PQC firmware path (validated, where FIPS 140-3 applies): the fix is a new module.

How do you find systems that can’t migrate?

Find systems that can’t migrate to PQC through a cryptographic inventory confirmed in writing by each vendor. Network scans miss cryptography compiled into applications, firmware keys and supplier components, so ask each manufacturer which version supports the NIST PQC algorithms, or when support ends. The inventory step in the 2027 budget guide lists the fields to record.

What do NIST, CISA, NCSC and Canada say about systems that can’t migrate?

CISA, Canada’s Cyber Centre and NIST describe containment for systems that can’t migrate. The UK NCSC lists retiring, running to end of life or tolerating the risk. US federal mandates expect replacement and do not mention segmentation.

SourceDateWhat it saysLink
CISA, Post-Quantum Considerations for Operational TechnologyOctober 2024“Entities should prioritize network segmentation for legacy OT, end-of-life software, and platforms that require extensive time to apply updates.”CISA PDF
Canadian Centre for Cyber Security, ITSM.40.001June 23, 2025“It may be necessary to isolate such systems on the network or to tunnel traffic within a PQC-protected encapsulation layer.”Cyber Centre
NIST CSWP 39-upd1, section 4.6December 19, 2025; updated June 29, 2026Describes a “crypto gateway” or “bump-in-the-wire” for legacy systems; where transition mechanisms are unavailable, plan “compensating controls.”NIST PDF
UK NCSC, PQC migration timelinesMarch 20, 2025Acknowledges systems “not capable of being transitioned to support PQC.” For each system it lists five approaches: in-place migration, re-platform, retire the service, run until end-of-life, or tolerate the risk.NCSC
Office of Management and Budget (OMB) M-26-15, US federal civilian agenciesJune 24, 2026Such systems “must be identified and given priority for replacement or decommissioning.” For firewalls, VPN concentrators and proxies that terminate PQC connections: “Ideally, such terminators should be located architecturally as close to the endpoint as feasible.”OMB PDF
NSA, Commercial National Security Algorithm Suite (CNSA) 2.0 FAQ v2.1, national security systemsDecember 2024Equipment that cannot support CNSA 2.0 “must be phased out” by December 31, 2030, “unless otherwise noted”; fielded systems must upgrade or obtain a waiver.NSA PDF

The sources split on one point. OMB M-26-15 and CNSA 2.0 expect replacement, decommissioning or a waiver. Canada’s roadmap counts systems that are isolated or tunnelled toward its milestones: completing them “implies that quantum-vulnerable algorithms are disabled, isolated or tunnelled.” CISA prioritizes segmentation for legacy OT, and NIST describes crypto gateways and compensating controls. Tolerating the risk (NCSC) works only as an owned, dated decision.

How do you protect a system that can’t be upgraded to post-quantum cryptography?

Protect a system that can’t be upgraded to post-quantum cryptography with five options, usually two or three together: replace or retire it, put a PQC-capable gateway or tunnel in front of it, segment it, reduce the data it handles, or accept the risk until a fixed date.

OptionWhat it doesWhat it doesn’t doWhen to useRelative cost (indicative)
Replace or retireRemoves the vulnerable cryptography or the serviceDoesn’t happen quickly: OT and medical replacements need capital, validation and downtimeEnd state; first choice when a PQC-capable model exists or support is endingHighest upfront
PQC-capable gateway, proxy or tunnelProtects traffic from the gateway onward. The gateway is often the firewall or VPN concentrator you already run, refreshed for PQC key exchange.Doesn’t protect the device-to-gateway link or fix signatures the device verifiesTraffic that must stay confidential and crosses networks you don’t controlMedium
Segment and restrict reachabilityLimits access to approved paths; blocks lateral movement to and through the systemDoesn’t change the cryptography: permitted traffic can still be recorded and decrypted later (harvest now, decrypt later), and forged signatures still passMost systems that can’t migrate (CISA prioritizes it for legacy OT)Low to medium
Reduce the data it handlesCuts sensitive data stored on or sent by the system, where configuration allowsDoesn’t address forged signaturesSystems holding long-lived data they don’t needLow
Accept and document (time-bound)Records owner, controls and expiry (NCSC “tolerate the risk”)Doesn’t reduce risk; OMB M-26-15 still expects replacement, CNSA 2.0 a waiverLow-sensitivity systems near retirementLowest

For cryptographic containment through a gateway or tunnel, Gartner advises CISOs to “plan containment or accelerate the retirement of systems that cannot migrate,” using “encapsulation, cryptographic shims or PQC-protected channels only as governed interim measures” (Gartner research (Elisity reprint), September 17, 2026).

How do you protect devices that cannot be upgraded to post-quantum algorithms?

For devices that cannot be upgraded to post-quantum algorithms, the first option depends on the asset type.

Asset typeTypical constraintFirst optionInterim containmentNotes
PLC or controllerFixed firmware, production change windowsReplace at line refresh; require crypto-agile features in purchases (CISA)Allow only mapped flows: engineering workstations, human-machine interface (HMI) or supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) servers, historians, and peer controllers and I/O in the same cellMany legacy OT protocols (Modbus/TCP, classic EtherNet/IP) carry no cryptography, so the exposure is firmware signing, secure boot and certificate-based protocols; keep policies static
Medical device (FDA-cleared, manufacturer validation cycle)Manufacturer controls firmwareManufacturer’s dated PQC roadmap; replace at end of supportAllow only its clinical systems and a controlled vendor pathReduce patient data where configuration allows; tunnel patient-data flows
Building system or HVACVendor-managed, proprietary protocolsContain; replace at refreshAllow only the building management serverMain concern is manipulation
Legacy server or app with hardcoded cryptoCryptography compiled inCrypto gateway (NIST CSWP 39-upd1, section 4.6)Allow only known clientsGateway buys time to re-platform
HSM without a PQC firmware pathFirmware lacks PQC (validated, where FIPS 140-3 applies)Replace with a PQC-capable module at renewalAllow only named application serversSignatures it issues share its weakness
IP camera or embedded IoTLow compute, no updatesReplaceAllow only its video management system or controllerKeep data on the local segment

How does network segmentation reduce quantum risk for systems that can’t migrate?

Network segmentation reduces quantum risk for systems that can’t migrate by cutting the paths an adversary can use to reach the system, capture its traffic inside the network, or pivot through it. CISA wrote in October 2024 that “strong OT network segmentation can be particularly effective in mitigating vulnerabilities associated with post-quantum cryptographic compromises by denying attackers access to OT systems.”

  1. Map required flows: the hosts, protocols and directions the system needs.
  2. Simulate first: see what the policy would block before enforcing it.
  3. Enforce default deny at the first managed point where the device connects: a switch port, a wireless controller, a host firewall if the device supports one, or a dedicated gateway. Allow only approved flows, including between peers on the same subnet. Devices sharing an unmanaged switch below that point can still reach each other, so find those first. Keep firewalls for traffic between zones and at the perimeter; enforcement at the connection point covers device-to-device traffic inside a zone, which never reaches the firewall.
  4. Keep OT policies static: change them through change control rather than automatically.
  5. Record the policy ID in the exception register.

What quantum risks does segmentation leave open?

Network segmentation leaves two quantum risks in place, each with a different fix: recorded traffic and forged signatures. Segmentation limits reachability; it does not repair weak cryptography.

  • Confidentiality (harvest now, decrypt later): traffic on permitted paths, including links that leave your network, can be recorded today and decrypted once a cryptographically relevant quantum computer exists. The fixes are a PQC-capable gateway or tunnel, less data and replacement.
  • Authenticity (forged signatures): a device that verifies firmware, code or commands with a quantum-vulnerable signature scheme will accept a forgery from an attacker who can break that scheme, whether it arrives over a permitted path, a vendor channel or removable media. Segmentation narrows the network paths, and the device’s verification check stays as weak as before. PQC-signed firmware or replacement is the fix.

In US federal and national security frameworks, segmentation does not satisfy a PQC mandate on its own.

How do these options apply in OT and hospitals?

How does quantum risk affect operational technology (OT) and industrial networks?

In OT, the bigger quantum concern is usually integrity: forged firmware, code or commands. CISA says confidentiality attacks “are not as impactful for OT (vs. IT) communications.” The exception is OT traffic carrying long-lived intellectual property, such as recipes and process data, which is still a confidentiality concern and belongs in a PQC-protected tunnel when it leaves the plant. For equipment that cannot change, CISA prioritizes segmentation (see IT/OT segmentation for manufacturing).

What should a hospital do to prepare for quantum risk to patient data?

A hospital should prepare for quantum risk to patient data by treating it as a long-lived confidentiality problem: records stay sensitive for years, so quantum-vulnerable traffic recorded today can be decrypted later.

  1. Inventory every networked medical device.
  2. Get a dated PQC roadmap in writing from each manufacturer.
  3. Rank devices by the confidentiality lifetime of the patient data they handle.
  4. Log each device without a roadmap as an exception with an owner and a replace-by date.
  5. Segment each device to the clinical systems it must reach.
  6. Tunnel patient-data flows that leave the device segment through a PQC-capable gateway.

Forged firmware or commands on a medical device are a patient-safety risk as well as a privacy one. The medical device security guide covers the groundwork.

What should an exception register for quantum-vulnerable systems record?

An exception register for quantum-vulnerable systems should record each system’s owner, cryptography and use, data lifetime, reason it can’t migrate, containment and replacement date.

Illustrative example; not a real device or customer.

FieldExample
System and ownerInfusion pump fleet, Model X; director of clinical engineering
Business serviceMedication administration, inpatient units
Algorithm and useRSA key exchange to the pump server (confidentiality); ECDSA firmware signing (authenticity), as separate lines
Data sensitivity and confidentiality lifetimePatient identifiers and dosing records; life of the medical record
Reason it can’t migrateNo PQC firmware; successor needs clinical validation and capital
Compensating controlsSegmentation policy [SEG-xxxx], simulated then enforced; PQC-capable tunnel from pump server to the electronic health record (EHR) system
Allowed communication pathsPump to pump server; pump server to EHR; vendor support via jump host
Review date[Quarter end]
Replace-or-retire-by date[Date], aligned to the capital plan
Vendor roadmap referenceManufacturer letter dated [date]: no PQC firmware planned for Model X

A tunnel can address key exchange; only new firmware or hardware addresses signatures. An entry without a replace-or-retire-by date is a permanent exception.

Which post-quantum migration deadlines apply?

Post-quantum migration deadlines depend on jurisdiction and sector, and every roadmap below runs to 2035.

MilestoneWho it applies toDateSource
Discovery and initial plan; highest-priority migrations; full migrationUK organizations (guidance)2028; 2031; 2035UK NCSC, March 20, 2025
Phase 1 strategy, planning and discovery; Phase 2 pilots and early migrationUS federal civilian agencies (not national security systems)2026 to 2027; 2027 to 2028OMB M-26-15, June 24, 2026
Phase 3 PQC key establishment for high-value assets, high-impact systems and highly sensitive data; mitigate as much quantum risk as feasibleUS federal civilian agencies2028 to 2030; December 31, 2030OMB M-26-15, June 24, 2026
Phase 4 signature migration; Phase 5 full migrationUS federal civilian agencies2031; 2035OMB M-26-15, June 24, 2026
New acquisitions CNSA 2.0 compliant; equipment and services that cannot support CNSA 2.0 phased out (each “unless otherwise noted”)US national security systemsJanuary 1, 2027; December 31, 2030CNSSP 15, as summarized in NSA’s CNSA 2.0 FAQ (version 2.1, December 2024)
Custom applications and legacy equipment updated or replaced; legacy equipment not refreshed regularly “will require a waiver and a plan to bring it into compliance”US national security systems2033NSA CNSA 2.0 advisory, September 2022
First steps and national roadmaps; high-risk use cases; medium-risk complete, low-risk “as much as feasible”EU member statesEnd of 2026; end of 2030; end of 2035EU PQC Workstream roadmap v1.1, June 2025
Initial plan; high-priority systems; remaining systemsGovernment of Canada non-classified IT onlyApril 2026; end of 2031; end of 2035Canadian Centre for Cyber Security ITSM.40.001, June 23, 2025
112-bit RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography (ECC) deprecated; quantum-vulnerable public-key algorithms disallowedNIST-approved cryptography (draft, not final)After 2030; after 2035NIST IR 8547 initial public draft, November 12, 2024
Timeline of public post-quantum migration milestones from NIST, the UK NCSC and the EU, from 2024 to 2035, with 2027 highlighted
Public post-quantum milestones from NIST, the UK NCSC and the EU coordinated roadmap. NIST IR 8547 dates are from an initial public draft.

Data that must stay confidential longer than the time left before a quantum computer can break it is already exposed, because traffic recorded now can be decrypted later.

How much should you budget for systems that can’t be upgraded?

For the whole PQC program, including systems that can’t be upgraded, Gartner says that “currently Gartner’s best estimate is that this is a multiyear effort between now and 2030, with an expected budget impact between 1% and 5% of the total IT budget” (Gartner research (Elisity reprint), September 17, 2026). Give each remedy its own budget line.

Budget lineTypeWhat sets the amount
Replacement capexOne-time, often in OT, clinical or facilities capital plansUnits, successor price, installation, validation, downtime
PQC-capable gateways and tunnelsOne-time and recurringProtected flows, throughput, support
Segmentation policy workOne-time design, recurring upkeepAssets and flows in scope, simulation time, change windows
Exception register upkeepRecurringEntries, review cadence, owner hours

Replacement often sits in another department’s capital plan; pull those dates forward. The post-quantum section of the 2027 budget guide covers the full program.

Where does Elisity fit?

Elisity provides identity-based microsegmentation. IdentityGraph correlates device identity and context, and policies are enforced at the network edge through supported switches and wireless controllers. No Elisity software agent runs on the IoT, OT and medical devices it protects, which matters because those devices often cannot be upgraded. Elisity enforces allow-or-deny policy and does not decrypt or alter traffic. Validate infrastructure support, rollout effort and outcome scope in a proof of value. In October 2026, IonQ announced an agreement to acquire Elisity, with closing expected in the fourth quarter of 2026. Elisity said the next phase would extend IdentityGraph with cryptographic inventory and risk information. Elisity does not inventory cryptography today; that comes from crypto discovery tools and vendor attestations. Explore the Elisity platform or ask the Elisity Assistant for the solution brief that fits your environment.

Frequently asked questions

Does network segmentation stop harvest-now-decrypt-later attacks?

Network segmentation does not stop harvest-now-decrypt-later attacks on traffic it still permits. Any quantum-vulnerable session on an allowed path, including links leaving your network, can be recorded today and decrypted later. Pair segmentation with a PQC-capable gateway or tunnel, less data and a replacement date.

Can a PQC gateway protect a device that can’t run PQC?

A PQC gateway protects a device’s traffic from the gateway onward, which NIST CSWP 39-upd1 calls a “crypto gateway” or “bump-in-the-wire.” The link between device and gateway stays exposed, and firmware signatures the device verifies are unchanged. Place the gateway as close to the device as you can. OMB M-26-15 gives the same advice for the firewalls and VPN concentrators that terminate PQC connections.

Do OMB M-26-15 or CNSA 2.0 require segmentation?

Neither OMB M-26-15 nor CNSA 2.0 calls for segmenting systems that cannot migrate. OMB M-26-15 gives them priority for replacement or decommissioning; CNSA 2.0 phases out non-compliant national security equipment by December 31, 2030 unless noted or waived. CISA prioritizes segmentation for legacy OT, and Canada’s roadmap counts isolated or tunnelled Government of Canada systems toward its milestones.

Does a PQC gateway count as migration under OMB M-26-15?

OMB M-26-15 does not describe a PQC gateway in front of a legacy device as a completed migration. It requires firewalls, VPN concentrators, cloud gateways and API proxies that terminate connections to support PQC key exchange, ideally close to the endpoint, and says systems incapable of PQC must be given priority for replacement or decommissioning.

Who should own the exception register?

The CISO’s team should own the exception register for quantum-vulnerable systems. Each entry names a system owner, typically clinical engineering, OT engineering or facilities, who accepts the risk and holds the replacement date. The register should feed the capital plan so each replace-or-retire-by date becomes a budget line.

How long can a system stay on quantum-vulnerable cryptography?

A system should stay on quantum-vulnerable cryptography no longer than the earliest deadline that applies to it. NIST’s draft IR 8547 proposes disallowing quantum-vulnerable public-key algorithms after 2035; OMB M-26-15 sets 2028 to 2030 for key establishment in high-value federal systems; CNSA 2.0 phases out non-compliant national security equipment by December 31, 2030. Long-lived data shortens the window.

Sources

Gartner does not endorse any vendor, product or service depicted in its research publications. Gartner research publications consist of the opinions of Gartner’s research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. GARTNER is a registered trademark and service mark of Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates in the U.S. and internationally and is used herein with permission. All rights reserved.

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